The CFA Society Los Angeles asks

Before 16 February 2018, will President Trump sign legislation that reduces the top marginal federal corporate tax rate?

Started Nov 17, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 22, 2017 06:00PM UTC

The top marginal federal corporate tax rate is currently 35% (Cornell Law, CNBC, Harvard Business Review). The date that any change to the marginal rate would take effect is immaterial to the resolution of this question. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
H.R. 1 reduced the corporate tax rate to 21%. This question closed as "B) Yes, to a rate greater than 20% but less than 25%" with and end date of 22 December 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, to a rate of 20% or less 0%
Yes, to a rate greater than 20% but less than 25% 100%
Yes, to a rate of 25% or greater 0%
No 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 134
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 407
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.831934
2.
-0.705114
3.
-0.603731
4.
-0.589029
5.
-0.527609

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username