Question 10 of 12 in The World in 2018
Started Nov 21, 2017 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC

The Economist asks

Between 21 November 2017 and 30 September 2018, how will S&P next adjust the United Kingdom's long-term issuer credit rating?

Revisions to the "outlook" will not suffice. S&P and Fitch downgraded the United Kingdom after the 2016 Brexit vote, and Moody's did the same in September 2017. While S&P recently reaffirmed its AA rating, it cautioned that the risk of a disorderly Brexit may lead to a further downgrade (Reuters, Financial Times).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.

Name Probability
Up 2%
Down 22%
No Adjustment 76%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In