The Economist asks
When will Saudi Arabia announce the reopening of its land border with Qatar?
Started
Nov 21, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
Temporary reopenings will not suffice (e.g., The Guardian). On 5 June 2017, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, and the UAE cut diplomatic relations with Qatar, embargoing goods, closing borders, and requiring Qatari citizens to leave their countries (BBC, The Cipher Brief).
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This question closed as "Not before 1 August 2018" with an end date of 1 August 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question closed as "Not before 1 August 2018" with an end date of 1 August 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Before 1 February 2018 | 0% | |
Between 1 February and 30 April 2018, inclusive | 0% | |
Between 1 May and 31 July 2018, inclusive | 2% | |
Not before 1 August 2018 | 98% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 599 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1316 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |