Will "implementation day" for the Iranian nuclear deal occur before Iran's legislative elections?
Started
Nov 03, 2015 08:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 16, 2016 08:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 16, 2016 08:00PM UTC
Elections for the Islamic Consultative Assembly and Assembly of Experts are scheduled for 26 February 2016. Although moderates in Iran hope to expedite implementation of the agreement in order to secure sanction relief before the election, the US has estimated that implementation may take as long as six months (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/the-mechanism-behind-the-iran-nuclear-deal-goes-into-motion/2015/10/18/b69d0fba-8d4d-404a-ba40-ff5930b54908_story.html , http://www.nytimes.com/2015/10/18/world/middleeast/iran-nuclear-deal-sanctions.html ). For more information on the timeline of the agreement, see http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/markaz/posts/2015/07/21-comprehensive-timeline-iran-nuclear-deal , http://csis.org/ppp/index.htm, http://www.eeas.europa.eu/statements-eeas/docs/iran_agreement/annex_5_implementation_plan_en.pdf .
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 85.00% | |
No | 15.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
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Number of Forecasters | 227 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 829 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |