HFC asks
Will a framework for an end to the Syrian conflict be agreed upon by 31 December 2017?
Started
Nov 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2017 07:58PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2017 07:58PM UTC
Challenges
Leaders of Russia, Turkey, and Iran are sponsoring a conference aimed at achieving a peaceful settlement of the Syrian civil war (NY Times, Al Arabiya, The Wire). The question will resolve as "yes" if a credible media source (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters) reports that Syria has agreed to a framework outlining the future structure of the state that includes BOTH the adoption of a new constitution AND holding elections under United Nations supervision.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 231 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205 | |
Number of Forecasts | 346 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |