HFC asks
Will Barnaby Joyce win the upcoming by-election in New England, Australia?
Started
Nov 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 02, 2017 04:59AM UTC
Closed Dec 02, 2017 04:59AM UTC
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Australia's former Deputy Prime Minister Barnaby Joyce is running in a by-election scheduled for 2 December 2017, a race which may determine which party holds the majority in Australia's House of Representatives (NY Times, Northern Daily Leader).
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Barnaby Joyce won the by-election. This question closed as "Yes." See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Barnaby Joyce won the by-election. This question closed as "Yes." See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 99.00% | |
| No | 1.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 24 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 31 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 583 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
