HFC asks

Will Catalan pro-independence parties hold a majority of seats after the upcoming regional elections?

Started Nov 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 21, 2017 04:59AM UTC
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Examples of current and past pro-independence parties include the Catalan European Democratic Party (PDECat), the Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC), the Popular Unity Candidacy (CUP), Catalonia Yes (CatSi), and Democrats of Catalonia (DC). Regional elections are scheduled for 21 December 2017 (NY Times, Reuters). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Pro-independence parties hold a majority of seats after Catalan's regional elections. This question closed as "yes" with an end date of 22 December 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 40.00%
No 60.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 83
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 192
Average for questions older than 6 months: 583
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.6789
2.
-0.620843
3.
-0.510639
4.
-0.464848
5.
-0.367422

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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