HFC asks
How many total civilian deaths for December 2017 will the Syrian Network for Human Rights (SNHR) report?
Started
Nov 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 04:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 04:59AM UTC
Challenges
Question will be resolved using the Syrian Network for Human Rights (SNHR) monthly report for December. Monthly reports are posted here and are typically updated within a few days of the following month. The SNHR monthly report will be treated as the official resolution source even if other authorities offer conflicting numbers.
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Resolution Notes
SNHR reported that 569 civilians were killed in December; http://sn4hr.org/blog/2018/01/01/50220/ ; http://sn4hr.org/wp-content/pdf/english/10,204_civilians_killed_in_2017_en.pdf
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 800 | 34% | |
| Between 800 to 900, inclusive | 36% | |
| More than 900 but less than 950 | 18% | |
| Between 950 to 1,000, inclusive | 9% | |
| More than 1,000 | 3% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 88 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 159 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
