HFC asks

Will an individual hack of Bitcoin resulting in the theft of $10,000,000 USD or more occur in December 2017?

Started Nov 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 06, 2017 04:50PM UTC
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On November 21, 2017, the company behind the Bitcoin cryptocurrency "tether" announced a hack resulting in a theft valued at $31,000,000 USD that was widely reported in the media (Bloomberg, CNBC). The question will resolve as "yes" if a credible media outlet (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters) reports an additional, separate Bitcoin hacking event valued at $10,000,000 or more during the period of interest. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Resolution Notes

http://money.cnn.com/2017/12/07/technology/nicehash-bitcoin-theft-hacking/index.html

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 49
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 86
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.9152
2.
-1.680171
3.
-0.610286
4.
-0.218571
5.
-0.206629

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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