SCOTUSblog asks

In United States v. Microsoft Corp, will the Supreme Court rule that the government can use a warrant to compel the disclosure of records stored outside of the United States?

Started Dec 01, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 17, 2018 05:00PM UTC
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In 2016, the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit ruled that Microsoft did not have to comply with a warrant for records stored outside of the US, and the government appealed (SCOUTS Blog, Reuters). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its current term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
In United States v. Microsoft Corp, the Supreme Court did not rule that the government can use a warrant to compel the disclosure of records stored outside of the United States. This question closed as "b) No" with an end date of 17 April. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 55.00%
No 45.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 279
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 406
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.682
2.
-0.682
4.
-0.677
5.
-0.673

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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