SCOTUSblog asks

In Murphy v. NCAA, will the Supreme Court rule that Congress cannot prohibit New Jersey from amending or repealing its existing prohibitions on sports gambling?

Started Dec 08, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 14, 2018 06:59AM UTC
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By a count of 7-2, the question closed with "Yes" with an end date of 14 May. (SCOTUS) In 2016, the US Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit ruled that the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act (PASPA) prohibited the state of New Jersey from repealing certain laws regarding sports gambling (The Chicago Tribune). New Jersey appealed that decision to the Supreme Court, arguing that Congress does not have the authority to prohibit amendment or repeal of those laws (SCOTUSBlog, The Washington Post). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its current term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.

Question clarification
Issued on 04/05/18 03:50pm
Due to the change in New Jersey governors, Phil Murphy's name was substituted for Chris Christie's name in the case at bar. Therefore, the case name has been revised to "Murphy v. NCAA".
Resolution Notes

By a count of 7-2, the question closed with "Yes" with an end date of 14 May.
(SCOTUS)

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 75.00%
No 25.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 230
Average for questions older than 6 months: 209
Number of Forecasts 300
Average for questions older than 6 months: 592
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.073
2.
-0.073
3.
-0.072
4.
-0.072
5.
-0.071

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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