Started Dec 15, 2017 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC

  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will the Democrats gain control of Congress in the 2018 midterm elections?

Show background information

Thirty-four Senate seats and all four hundred thirty-five seats in the United States House of Representatives are up for election in 2018 (CNN, CNN). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
No 25%
Yes, both chambers 13%
Yes, the Senate, but not the House of Representatives 6%
Yes, the House of Representatives, but not the Senate 56%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 4853
Average for questions older than 6 months: 245
Number of Forecasts 8354
Average for questions older than 6 months: 672
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
Intriligator
-0.886
2.
maxbauer
-0.88
3.
Rathod
-0.88
4.
rockytx2
-0.88
5.
bm
-0.88

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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