HFC asks

What will be the daily closing price of gold on 27 December 2017 in USD?

Started Dec 20, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 27, 2017 04:59AM UTC
Challenges

This question will be resolved using the last daily London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) Gold Price USD (PM) for the date of interest. The relevant data is available by selecting 'Table' and referring to the 'PM' column under 'USD.' Question will be suspended on the day before the date of interest and resolved the day after the date of interest. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Resolution Notes

Answer is $1270.40 per resolution instructions.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $1,200 0%
Between $1,200 and $1,230, inclusive 0%
More than $1,230 but less than $1,255 1%
Between $1,255 and $1,285, inclusive 80%
More than $1,285 19%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 121
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 195
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.026243
2.
-0.026243
3.
-0.026243
4.
-0.026193
5.
-0.024814

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username