The Economist asks
What will be the closing spot price for Brent crude oil on 1 October 2018?
Started
Jan 10, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 29, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Closed Sep 29, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Outcome will be determined by the daily closing spot price for wholesale Brent crude oil reported by the Energy Information Administration. Experts are projecting slight increases in 2018 (Energy Information Administration, Reuters,
The Economist).
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This question closed as "More than $80 per barrel" with an end date of 1 October 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question closed as "More than $80 per barrel" with an end date of 1 October 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than $50 per barrel | 0% | |
Between $50 and $60 per barrel, inclusive | 0% | |
More than $60 but less than $70 per barrel | 13% | |
Between $70 and $80 per barrel, inclusive | 58% | |
More than $80 per barrel | 29% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 728 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 2818 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |