Question 3 of 10 in The World in 2018
Started Jan 10, 2018 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Sep 29, 2018 06:59AM UTC

The Economist asks

What will be the closing spot price for Brent crude oil on 1 October 2018?

Outcome will be determined by the daily closing spot price for wholesale Brent crude oil reported by the Energy Information Administration. Experts are projecting slight increases in 2018 (Energy Information Administration, Reuters,
The Economist).

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Name Probability
Less than $50 per barrel 0%
Between $50 and $60 per barrel, inclusive 1%
More than $60 but less than $70 per barrel 30%
Between $70 and $80 per barrel, inclusive 57%
More than $80 per barrel 12%

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