The Monkey Cage asks
Which party will hold a majority in the US House of Representatives after the 2018 midterm elections?
Started
Feb 14, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC
Closed Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC
Midterm elections are scheduled for 6 November 2018 (NY Times, Washington Post). Independents will be counted for the party with which they caucus or conference.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
This question closed as "Democratic Party, with 230 or more representatives on 6 November" with an end date of 6 November 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question closed as "Democratic Party, with 230 or more representatives on 6 November" with an end date of 6 November 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party, with 230 or more representatives | 23% | |
Democratic Party, with less than 230 representatives | 55% | |
Republican Party, with less than 230 representatives | 22% | |
Republican Party, with 230 or more representatives | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 419 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 219 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1106 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 613 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |