Will Nathan Chen win a gold medal at the 2018 Winter Olympic Games?

Started Feb 15, 2018 08:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 21, 2018 07:59AM UTC
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Nathan Chen was the only undefeated individual skater in the world this season in individual competition and will compete for an individual medal on 16-17 February (Olympic.org). He "bombed in his Olympic debut Friday [9 February]" (USA Today). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. Nathan Chen did not win a gold medal at the 2018 Winter Olympic Games. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 21 February 2018.
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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 55
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 77
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.00005
2.
-0.00005
3.
-0.00005
4.
-0.000017
5.
-0.000017

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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