Which country will win the most gold medals at the 2018 Winter Olympic Games?

Started Feb 15, 2018 08:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 25, 2018 06:00PM UTC
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The 2018 Olympic Games are being held in Pyeongchang, South Korea from 7 - 25 February (Olympic.org). The 2018 medal standings are being updated here. At the 2014 Winter Olympics, Russia, Norway, Canada, and the United States were the top four in the gold medal count; the Netherlands and Germany tied for fifth (Business Insider). In the event of a tie in the gold medal count, we will use the total number of medals to serve as a tiebreaker, followed by the total silver medals and then bronze medals, if needed. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
While Norway and Germany tied with 14 gold medals each, Norway wins the tie breaker with most medals overall. This question closed as "Norway" with an end date of 25 February 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Norway 100%
Canada 0%
United States 0%
Netherlands 0%
Germany 0%
Another country 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 133
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 378
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.442
2.
-0.382
3.
-0.352
4.
-0.264
5.
-0.217

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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