The Monkey Cage asks

Will Dean Heller (R-NV) be re-elected this November?

Started Apr 04, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC

Senator Dean Heller (R-NV) is seeking re-election on 6 November 2018 (Ballotpedia). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 49.00%
No 51.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 152
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 478
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.242482
2.
-0.237702
4.
-0.234693
5.
-0.209491

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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