The Mack Institute asks
Between 1 July 2017 and 1 July 2018, how many Model 3 cars will Tesla deliver to customers?
Started
Apr 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Although production of Tesla's Model 3s have ramped up, deliveries are still well below the targets Tesla set last summer (Auto Blog, Wired, Teslarati). See (GJOpen) for forecasts on deliveries for the same time period above 50,000.
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This question closed as "29,000 or less" with an end date of 1 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question closed as "29,000 or less" with an end date of 1 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
29,000 or less | 0% | |
More than 29,000 but less than 36,000 | 6% | |
Between 36,000 and 43,000, inclusive | 94% | |
More than 43,000 but less than 50,000 | 0% | |
50,000 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 107 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 391 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |