Before 1 January 2019, which company from among Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft will be the first to reach an end-of-day market capitalization of $1 trillion?
Started
Jun 20, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 02, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 02, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
Leading tech companies have seen rapid increases in market capitalization (Financial Times, Reuters). Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day "Market Cap" reported by Bloomberg for Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOGL), and Microsoft (MSFT). If two or more companies reach an end-of-day market capitalization of $1 trillion on the same day, the question will resolve on the company with the higher market capitalization.
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This question closed as "Apple" with an end date of 2 August 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
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This question closed as "Apple" with an end date of 2 August 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Apple | 99% | |
Amazon | 0% | |
Alphabet | 0% | |
Microsoft | 0% | |
None of the above | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 159 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 380 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |