Welcome to the
Good Judgment™ Open
Note for NYT readers: The forecasting tournament on Iran referenced in the Tetlock-Scoblic op-ed article is the Polarization v. Prediction: Iran (2016) challenge. Please join via the Challenges page after sign up.
Are you a superforecaster?
Can you predict what will happen in the news before it's in the headlines?
Share your forecasts about current events. Track your accuracy, improve your judgment and learn about your biases in the process.
We're currently in Open Beta. Click sign up to join or sign in.