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The Mack Institute asks

What will be the 2017 industry-wide average cost of Li-ion batteries used in battery-powered electric vehicles?

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54 Forecasters • 92 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2017 05:00PM UTC Closing Jan 02, 2018 07:59AM UTC
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Less than $215 kWh
1%
Between $215 and $230 per kWh, inclusive
38%
More than $230 but less than $245 per kWh
54%
$245 per kWh or more
6%
The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 July 2018, how many Model 3 cars will Tesla deliver to customers?

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84 Forecasters • 134 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2017 05:00PM UTC Closing Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
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Less than 50,000
5%
More than 50,000 but less than 100,000
38%
Between 100,000 and 200,000 inclusive
52%
More than 200,000 but less than 300,000
5%
300,000 or more
0%
The Monkey Cage asks

Before 1 January 2018, will the U.S. Senate expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?

7%

Chance
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258 Forecasters • 600 Forecasts
Started Apr 28, 2017 05:00PM UTC Closing Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC
The Monkey Cage asks

Will the U.S. federal debt ceiling be raised or suspended before 1 December 2017?

99%

Chance
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325 Forecasters • 667 Forecasts
Started Apr 28, 2017 05:00PM UTC Closing Dec 01, 2017 07:59PM UTC
The Monkey Cage asks

How many removals will U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement conduct in fiscal year 2017?

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196 Forecasters • 617 Forecasts
Started Apr 28, 2017 05:00PM UTC Closing Sep 30, 2017 06:59PM UTC
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Less than 250,000
75%
Between 250,000 and 500,000, inclusive
25%
More than 500,000 but less than 1 million
0%
Between 1 million and 2 million, inclusive
0%
More than 2 million
0%
The Monkey Cage asks

As of 30 November 2017, how many states, including D.C., will offer expanded Medicaid coverage to people meeting the Affordable Care Act's poverty requirements for expanded coverage?

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147 Forecasters • 447 Forecasts
Started Apr 28, 2017 05:00PM UTC Closing Dec 01, 2017 07:59AM UTC
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Less than 32
28%
32
66%
33
6%
34
0%
35 or more
0%

Will Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu resign, lose a vote of confidence, or call new elections before 1 November 2017?

2%

Chance
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199 Forecasters • 575 Forecasts
Started Apr 18, 2017 05:00PM UTC Closing Nov 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC

Will the World Health Organization or the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention declare an influenza pandemic before 2019?

10%

Chance
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156 Forecasters • 468 Forecasts
Started Apr 18, 2017 05:00PM UTC Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC

Before 1 January 2018, will SpaceX successfully relaunch an orbital-class booster within 24 hours of booster landing?

5%

Chance
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197 Forecasters • 410 Forecasts
Started Apr 14, 2017 05:00PM UTC Closing Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC