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What will be Coinbase's end-of-day market capitalization on its first day of public trading?

13 Forecasters • 15 Forecasts
Started Mar 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 29, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $75 billion
2%
Between $75 billion and $100 billion, inclusive
14%
More than $100 billion but less than $125 billion
52%
Between $125 billion and $150 billion, inclusive
26%
More than $150 billion
6%
Coinbase will not trade publicly before 30 October 2021
0%

Before 1 January 2022, will North Korea detonate a nuclear device and/or launch an ICBM with an estimated range of at least 10,000km?

29 Forecasters • 33 Forecasts
Started Mar 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Yes, only detonate a nuclear device
0%
Yes, only launch an ICBM
40%
Yes, both
0%
No
60%
Ryan-Beck and Kinnaj ask:

Will Robinhood receive a Wells notice from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) before 1 October 2021 related to trading limits imposed on 28 January 2021?

7%

Chance
16 Forecasters • 17 Forecasts
Started Mar 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

How many cases of COVID-19 will the state of Texas report for the month of April 2021?

21 Forecasters • 24 Forecasts
Started Mar 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 150,000
71%
Between 150,000 and 250,000, inclusive
29%
More than 250,000 but fewer than 350,000
0%
Between 350,000 and 450,000, inclusive
0%
More than 450,000 but fewer than 550,000
0%
550,000 or more
0%

How many U.S. adult and pediatric hospital admissions with confirmed COVID-19 cases will there be for the week ending 27 March 2021?

15 Forecasters • 16 Forecasts
Started Mar 03, 2021 07:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 27, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 15,000
0%
Between 15,000 and 25,000, inclusive
0%
More than 25,000 but fewer than 35,000
28%
Between 35,000 and 45,000, inclusive
69%
More than 45,000 but fewer than 55,000
3%
Between 55,000 and 65,000, inclusive
0%
More than 65,000 but fewer than 75,000
0%
Between 75,000 and 85,000, inclusive
0%
More than 85,000 but fewer than 95,000
0%
95,000 or more
0%

How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. will be reported for the week ending 27 March 2021?

33 Forecasters • 48 Forecasts
Started Mar 03, 2021 07:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 27, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 100,000
0%
Between 100,000 and 200,000, inclusive
0%
More than 200,000 but fewer than 300,000
14%
Between 300,000 and 400,000, inclusive
42%
More than 400,000 but fewer than 500,000
30%
Between 500,000 and 600,000, inclusive
14%
More than 600,000 but fewer than 700,000
0%
Between 700,000 and 800,000, inclusive
0%
More than 800,000 but fewer than 900,000
0%
900,000 or more
0%

How many people in the U.S. will have received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine as of 31 March 2021, according to the CDC?

49 Forecasters • 81 Forecasts
Started Mar 03, 2021 07:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 31, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 70,000,000
0%
Between 70,000,000 and 75,000,000, inclusive
0%
More than 75,000,000 but fewer than 80,000,000
0%
Between 80,000,000 and 85,000,000, inclusive
6%
More than 85,000,000 but fewer than 90,000,000
37%
Between 90,000,000 and 95,000,000, inclusive
29%
More than 95,000,000 but fewer than 100,000,000
28%
Between 100,000,000 and 105,000,000, inclusive
0%
More than 105,000,000 but fewer than 110,000,000
0%
Between 110,000,000 and 115,000,000, inclusive
0%
More than 115,000,000
0%

How many deaths attributed to COVID-19 in the U.S. will be reported for the week ending 27 March 2021?

31 Forecasters • 43 Forecasts
Started Mar 03, 2021 07:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 27, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 4,000
0%
Between 4,000 and 6,000, inclusive
11%
More than 6,000 but fewer than 8,000
37%
Between 8,000 and 10,000, inclusive
29%
More than 10,000 but fewer than 12,000
21%
Between 12,000 and 14,000 inclusive
2%
More than 14,000 but fewer than 16,000
0%
Between 16,000 and 18,000 inclusive
0%
More than 18,000 but fewer than 20,000
0%
20,000 or more
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the People's Republic of China's (PRC's) military expenditure as a percentage of GDP be greater in 2021 than it was in 2019?

94%

Chance
63 Forecasters • 97 Forecasts
Started Feb 26, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

Will France grant the China Global Television Network (CGTN) a license to broadcast in France before 1 January 2022?

100%

Chance
34 Forecasters • 55 Forecasts
Started Feb 26, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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