Remo-P asks:

How many total vehicles will Rivian produce in 2024?

Started Mar 08, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC

Electronic vehicle manufacturer Rivian disappointed analysts with a target production number of 57,000 vehicles in 2024, fewer than were produced in 2023 (US News & World Report, AP). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2024 and the outcome determined using Rivian's "Production & Delivery" press release for "Q4 & Full Year" of 2024 (Rivian - Investor Relations, see under "Quarterly Results"). In 2023, Rivian reported producing 57,232 vehicles (Rivian - Q4 2023 Financial Results). If Rivian does not publish full-year results, open-source information will be used to determine the number of deliveries.

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The question closed "At least 44,000, but fewer than 50,000" with a closing date of 1 January 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 44,000 9%
At least 44,000, but fewer than 50,000 45%
At least 50,000, but fewer than 56,000 27%
At least 56,000, but fewer than 62,000 13%
At least 62,000, but fewer than 68,000 3%
At least 68,000, but fewer than 74,000 1%
At least 74,000, but fewer than 80,000 2%
80,000 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 76
Average for questions older than 6 months: 184
Number of Forecasts 269
Average for questions older than 6 months: 534
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.31274
3.
-0.248128
4.
-0.247271
5.
-0.225045

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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