The Economist: 2025-26 Supreme Court "SCOTUSbot" Forecasting Challenge

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Jul 01, 2026 07:01AM UTC (7 months)

Artificial intelligence programs are being put to the test across all sorts of domains. Our friends at The Economist are bringing this technology to the Supreme Court! They asked models about various headline cases in the Court’s last term, and they are expanding with several cases in the Court’s 2025 term, scheduled to kick off on 6 October 2025. In cooperation with The Economist, we are pleased to bring you the 2025-26 Supreme Court "SCOTUSbot" Forecasting Challenge! Can you beat the LLMs? Do you have what it takes to forecast what the Court will decide on some of the most consequential cases it will consider? Make your forecasts!

The Economist: 2025-26 Supreme Court "SCOTUSbot" Forecasting Challenge

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In Wolford v. Lopez, will the Supreme Court rule that the Ninth Circuit erred in holding that Hawaii may presumptively prohibit licensed firearm permit holders from carrying firearms onto private property open to the public unless the property owner has given express permission?

In Little v. Hecox, will the Supreme Court rule that the district court abused its discretion or otherwise erred in issuing a preliminary injunction against enforcement of Idaho's Fairness in Women's Sports Act as applied to Hecox?

In Bost v. Illinois State Board of Elections, will the Supreme Court rule that the petitioners have standing to challenge the state's laws allowing ballots to be received and counted after an election day?

In First Choice Women's Resource Centers (First Choice) v. Platkin, will the Supreme Court rule that a federal court has jurisdiction to hear First Choice's claim that New Jersey's subpoena implicates First Choice's First Amendment rights?

In Chiles v. Salazar, will the Supreme Court rule that Colorado's law prohibiting mental health professionals from providing "conversion therapy" to minor clients violates the Free Speech Clause of the First Amendment as to communications between counselors and clients?

In West Virginia v. B.P.J., will the Supreme Court rule that West Virginia's Save Women's Sports Act violates either Title IX of the Education Amendments of 1972 (Title IX) and/or the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment as to their application to B.P.J.?

In Louisiana v. Callais and/or Robinson v. Callais, will the Supreme Court rule that Louisiana's congressional district map creating two majority-Black congressional districts (aka "S.B. 8 map") is illegal and/or unconstitutional?

In Trump v. Slaughter, will the Supreme Court explicitly overrule Humphrey's Executor v. United States (Humphrey's Executor), which allowed Congress to limit the circumstances under which the president could remove members of independent federal agencies?

Before 1 August 2026, will the Supreme Court rule in Trump v. V.O.S. Selections Inc. (V.O.S.) that all of President Trump's "trafficking tariffs" are either not authorized by the IEEPA or unconstitutional?

The Economist: 2025-26 Supreme Court "SCOTUSbot" Forecasting Challenge

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