The Economist asks:

In Louisiana v. Callais and/or Robinson v. Callais, will the Supreme Court rule that Louisiana's congressional district map creating two majority-Black congressional districts (aka "S.B. 8 map") is illegal and/or unconstitutional?

Started Oct 02, 2025 02:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2026 07:01AM UTC

After various rounds of judicial and legislative proceedings, the Louisiana state legislature adopted Senate Bill 8 (S.B. 8), which created two congressional districts where Black residents were a majority of the population (NBC News, NPR, Louisiana State Legislature - S.B. 8). A group of Louisiana voters, including Phillip Callais, sued the state, asserting that race had unconstitutionally predominated in the drawing of one of the congressional districts (AP, Callais v. Landry - Complaint 31 January 2024). The district court agreed with the voters, ruling that S.B 8 violates the Equal Protection Clause of the US Constitution and thus prohibiting Louisiana from using that map in the future, and the Supreme Court agreed to hear the case (Callais v. Landry - Injunction 30 April 2024, SCOTUSblog - Louisiana v. Callais, NBC News). The Supreme Court consolidated Louisiana v. Callais and Robinson v. Callais for consideration, the latter being different litigation over the same issue. At the end of the Court's 2024 term, it "restored" the cases "to the calendar for reargument," meaning that it will consider the consolidated cases in its 2025 term (Supreme Court). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2025 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides these cases without addressing this question's particular issue or issues of law, the question will close as "No."

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 61.86% 0% +0.36% -3.64%
No 38.14% 0% -0.36% +3.64%

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