The Economist asks:

In West Virginia v. B.P.J., will the Supreme Court rule that West Virginia's Save Women's Sports Act violates either Title IX of the Education Amendments of 1972 (Title IX) and/or the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment as to their application to B.P.J.?

Started Oct 02, 2025 02:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2026 07:01AM UTC

B.P.J., a student athlete born a male who has been on puberty blocking medication for several years, sued West Virginia over its law that provides that "athletic teams or sports designated for females, women, or girls shall not be open to students of the male sex" (ACLU). The federal district court found for the state, finding that the statute is compliant with both Title IX and the Equal Protection Clause (EducationWeek, Supreme Court - District Court Decision and Order 5 January 2023, see page 75a). The Fourth Circuit reversed with regard to B.P.J.'s Title IX claim, and the Supreme Court agreed to hear the case (Fourth Circuit Decision, Politico, SCOTUSblog). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2025 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue or issues of law, the question will close as "No."

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 14.60% 0% 0% -3.80%
No 85.40% 0% 0% +3.80%

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