Will anti-Islamic State forces retake Mosul before 1 January 2017?
Started
Dec 22, 2015 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM UTC
This question was closed on "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. (Foreign Policy, Reuters).
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Mosul still appears firmly in the Islamic State's grasp, even as the Iraqi military seems to be making progress in an effort to retake Ramadi and Kurdish forces have rolled back some of the group's territorial gains in Northern Iraq (NYTimes, Foreign Policy, Guardian, WSJ). Recommended Questions Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be President of Syria before 1 March 2017? Before April 2016, will the French Army or Foreign Legion deploy combat troops to fight the Islamic State on the ground in Syria or Iraq?
Mosul still appears firmly in the Islamic State's grasp, even as the Iraqi military seems to be making progress in an effort to retake Ramadi and Kurdish forces have rolled back some of the group's territorial gains in Northern Iraq (NYTimes, Foreign Policy, Guardian, WSJ). Recommended Questions Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be President of Syria before 1 March 2017? Before April 2016, will the French Army or Foreign Legion deploy combat troops to fight the Islamic State on the ground in Syria or Iraq?
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5.00% | |
| No | 95.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 1086 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 5795 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
