Fareed Zakaria GPS asks
Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be president of Syria before 1 January 2020?
Started
Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad still holds power despite a civil war that has lasted years and caused much destruction (CNN, BBC).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3.00% | |
| No | 97.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 2504 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 3283 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |
