Will Congress pass a resolution disapproving the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action?

Started Sep 01, 2015 06:28PM UTC
Closed Sep 18, 2015 04:05AM UTC

In accordance with the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, President Obama submitted the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPoA) to Congress on 19 July 2015. Congress has sixty days to review the legislation and vote to approve or disapprove the agreement, but the President retains the right to veto (carnegieendowment.org/2015/08/06/what-would-happen-if-u.s.-congress-killed-iran-deal/ieeg; www.economist.com/news/united-states/21660543-barack-obama-braced-stormy-month-ahead-crucial-vote-congress-politics ).
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
No 91%
Yes, but the resolution will be vetoed by the President and the veto will stand 4%
Yes, and the resolution will become law 5%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 148
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 301
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.176
2.
-0.171
3.
-0.16
4.
-0.159
5.
-0.159

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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