Started Sep 01, 2015 06:28PM UTC   •   Closed Sep 18, 2015 04:05AM UTC

Will Congress pass a resolution disapproving the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action?

In accordance with the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, President Obama submitted the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPoA) to Congress on 19 July 2015. Congress has sixty days to review the legislation and vote to approve or disapprove the agreement, but the President retains the right to veto (carnegieendowment.org/2015/08/06/what-would-happen-if-u.s.-congress-killed-iran-deal/ieeg; www.economist.com/news/united-states/21660543-barack-obama-braced-stormy-month-ahead-crucial-vote-congress-politics ).

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
No 91%
Yes, but the resolution will be vetoed by the President and the veto will stand 4%
Yes, and the resolution will become law 5%

No. of
Forecasters

148

Forecast
Count

301

Crowd Brier Score

0.1718


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.176
2.
-0.171
3.
-0.16
4.
-0.159
5.
-0.159

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