Will the Supreme Court rule that any part of either North Carolina's or Maryland's congressional district maps is an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander?
Closed Jun 27, 2019 03:00PM UTC
In the cases of Rucho v. Common Cause and Lamone v. Benisek, separate district court panels declared congressional district maps in North Carolina and Maryland to be unconstitutional (SCOTUSBlog, SCOTUSBlog). The Supreme Court agreed to hear appeals for these cases, and oral arguments in both are scheduled for 26 March 2019 (The Economist, The Baltimore Sun). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down both decisions in its current term, but if it does not decide at least one case, the question will resolve as no.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 27 June 2019 (SCOTUS).
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 50.00% | |
No | 50.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 159 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 270 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |