Started Mar 22, 2019 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

The Economist asks

Will Kim Jong Un visit Seoul before 1 October 2019?

No North Korean Supreme Leader has visited Seoul before, and such a visit could signal a significant step for the bilateral relationship (The Economist, NPR, NY Times).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2019.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Final Crowd Forecast

1%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

607

Forecast
Count

928

Crowd Brier Score

0.0138


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.011
3.
-0.01
4.
-0.01
5.
-0.01

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username