The Economist asks
Will Kim Jong Un visit Seoul before 1 October 2019?
Started
Mar 22, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
No North Korean Supreme Leader has visited Seoul before, and such a visit could signal a significant step for the bilateral relationship (The Economist, NPR, NY Times).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2019.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.00% | |
| No | 99.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 607 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 928 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
