Which Democratic presidential candidate will win the Iowa caucuses on 1 February?
Started
Jan 21, 2016 03:48PM UTC
Closed Feb 01, 2016 07:59AM UTC
Closed Feb 01, 2016 07:59AM UTC
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For more information on the candidates, the primary process, and the primary schedule see: Candidates, How the Presidential Primary Works, Schedule.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | |
| Martin O’Malley | 2% | |
| Bernie Sanders | 47% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 1718 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 2201 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |