Started Jan 21, 2016 03:48PM UTC   •   Closed Feb 01, 2016 07:59AM UTC

Which Democratic presidential candidate will win the Iowa caucuses on 1 February?

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Hillary Clinton 51%
Martin O’Malley 2%
Bernie Sanders 47%

No. of
Forecasters

1718

Forecast
Count

2201

Crowd Brier Score

0.4091


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.426
2.
-0.426
3.
-0.425
4.
-0.418
5.
-0.392

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username