The Economist asks
On 25 September 2019, what will be Venezuela's annual inflation rate according to Bloomberg's Cafe Con Leche Index?
Started
May 24, 2019 04:45PM UTC
Closed Sep 24, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Closed Sep 24, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Venezuela has been experiencing hyperinflation (The Economist, BBC). The question will be resolved using Bloomberg's "Cafe Con Leche Index" (Bloomberg). The inflation rate can be retrieved by selecting "1 YEAR" and observing the number under "Annual Inflation Rate" on the right.
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The question closed "Less than 50,000%" with a closing date of 25 September 2019.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 50,000% | 98% | |
| Between 50,000% and 100,000%, inclusive | 2% | |
| Between 100,000% and 200,000% | 0% | |
| Between 200,000% and 500,000%, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 500,000% | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 148 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 337 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
