Nesta asks

What will be the closing value for the pound against the euro on 1 November 2019?

Started Jun 07, 2019 11:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC

The Brexit process introduces uncertainty for the pound (BBC, Reuters). Outcome will be determined by the closing value reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).

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The question closed "More than €1.10 but less than €1.20" with a closing date of 1 November 2019.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Below 1.00 7%
Between 1.00 and 1.10, inclusive 50%
More than 1.10 but less than 1.20 43%
Between 1.20 and 1.30, inclusive 0%
More than 1.30 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 778
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 1185
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.255
2.
-0.253
3.
-0.25
4.
-0.248
5.
-0.248

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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