Started Oct 04, 2019 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Apr 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC

D.C. Superforecasting Workshop participant tccoleman26 asks:

Between 4 October 2019 and 1 April 2020, will legislation in a U.S. state allowing college athletes to receive financial compensation for their names, images, and/or likenesses become law?

California Governor Gavin Newsom signed legislation in September 2019 that would enable many college student-athletes to receive compensation for the use of the student’s name, image, or likeness, which runs counter to current NCAA rules (LA Times, CBS Sports, Wall Street Journal, Economist). The date a law would take effect and whether a law includes all college athletes are immaterial. For the purposes of this question, the District of Columbia is considered to be a state.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.

Name Probability
Yes 32%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In