Started Oct 25, 2019 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC

sreichau asks:

For any month between and including October 2019 and December 2020, will the annual rate of inflation for the eurozone reach or exceed 2.0%?

As the European Central Bank (ECB) continues its programs of quantitative easing and negative interest rates in the face of recession fears, there are concerns that the ECB will not be able to return to its inflation target of "below, but close to, 2% over the medium term" (MarketWatch, APFinancial Times, ECB). The outcome will be determined based on Eurostat data for "Euro area (19 countries)" (Eurostat).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

277

Forecast
Count

653

Crowd Brier Score

0.0054


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.004
2.
-0.004
3.
-0.004
4.
-0.004
5.
-0.004

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