Will the US or the UN impose any new sanctions on Iran before 18 October 2016?

Started Feb 09, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 24, 2016 05:00PM UTC

In January 2016, the U.S. imposed new sanctions in response to Iran's October ballistic missile test (Treasury Department, NY Times, BBC). Many sanctions against Iran have been lifted as part of the nuclear deal, but other US sanctions on non-nuclear issues have remained in place (See page 3 of JCPOA FAQ). 18 October 2016 is the one year anniversary of "Adoption Day" for the nuclear deal. Recommended Questions How many countries will Russia remove from its food embargo list before 6 August 2016? Will Bahrain, Qatar, or the UAE return an ambassador to Iran before 18 October 2016? (Opinion) Do you approve or disapprove of the Iranian nuclear deal?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 30.00%
No 70.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 334
Average for questions older than 6 months: 201
Number of Forecasts 718
Average for questions older than 6 months: 573
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.3765
2.
-1.338773
3.
-1.313095
4.
-1.284523
5.
-1.222564

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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