Chicago Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Before 1 May 2020, will China reduce or remove any tariffs imposed on U.S. yellow soybeans?
Started
Dec 06, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 15, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Closed Feb 15, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
China has increased import tariffs on U.S. yellow soybeans (also known as yellow soya beans) to 33% as of the launch of this question (USDA, South China Morning Post, Bloomberg, CNBC). Tariff exemptions and waivers would not count toward the resolution of the question.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 14 February 2020.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 90.00% | |
No | 10.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 156 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 372 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |