Started Jan 24, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 24, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Foxes Ask:

Will there be a new prime minister of Italy before 24 January 2021?

Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte entered 2020 after a politically tumultuous year (Guardian, NY Times, CNN). Any reappointment of Conte would not count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 24 January 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

295

Forecast
Count

897

Crowd Brier Score

0.0776


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.171
2.
-0.171
4.
-0.166
5.
-0.16

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