Foxes Ask:

Will there be a new prime minister of Italy before 24 January 2021?

Started Jan 24, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 24, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte entered 2020 after a politically tumultuous year (Guardian, NY Times, CNN). Any reappointment of Conte would not count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 24 January 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 295
Average for questions older than 6 months: 210
Number of Forecasts 897
Average for questions older than 6 months: 596
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.171
2.
-0.171
4.
-0.166
5.
-0.16

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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