Question 8 of 12 in US Election 2020
Started Feb 07, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Mar 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC

San Francisco Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Bernie Sanders win a majority of Democratic pledged delegates on Super Tuesday?

Fourteen states, one U.S. territory, and "Democrats Abroad" are scheduled to hold their Democratic primaries & caucuses on 3 March 2020, known as "Super Tuesday" (270 To Win). The outcome will be determined based on who wins the majority of pledged delegates. In the event of a tie, the candidate with the most votes will be considered the winner.

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Name Probability
Yes 30%

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