Mdankwah asks:

How many seats will the New Patriotic Party win in Ghana's 2020 parliamentary elections?

Started Apr 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 07, 2020 07:00PM UTC

Ghana's parliamentary elections are scheduled for late 2020, with all 275 seats up for election (Africa Center). The New Patriotic Party won 169 seats in the 2016 election, with the National Democratic Congress securing the remaining 106 (Peace FM Online).

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The question closed "Neither a majority nor a plurality" with a closing date of 7 December 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
A majority of seats 97%
A plurality of seats, but not a majority 2%
Neither a majority nor a plurality 1%
Parliamentary elections in Ghana will not take place in 2020 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 59
Average for questions older than 6 months: 210
Number of Forecasts 262
Average for questions older than 6 months: 596
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.282
2.
-0.795
3.
-0.715
4.
-0.68
5.
-0.613

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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