Started Apr 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Dec 07, 2020 07:00PM UTC

Mdankwah asks:

How many seats will the New Patriotic Party win in Ghana's 2020 parliamentary elections?

Ghana's parliamentary elections are scheduled for late 2020, with all 275 seats up for election (Africa Center). The New Patriotic Party won 169 seats in the 2016 election, with the National Democratic Congress securing the remaining 106 (Peace FM Online).

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The question closed "Neither a majority nor a plurality" with a closing date of 7 December 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
A majority of seats 97%
A plurality of seats, but not a majority 2%
Neither a majority nor a plurality 1%
Parliamentary elections in Ghana will not take place in 2020 0%

No. of
Forecasters

59

Forecast
Count

262

Crowd Brier Score

1.7812


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.282
2.
-0.795
3.
-0.715
4.
-0.68
5.
-0.613

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