Started May 15, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Dec 31, 2020 10:59PM UTC

The Mack Institute asks:

Before 1 January 2021, will the European Union delay and/or relax the implementation and/or enforcement of any of its CO2 emission performance standards for new passenger cars and/or new light commercial vehicles?

Due to impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, the auto industry in the EU is seeking relief from CO2 emission performance standards regulations (European Automobile Manufacturers Association, Europa, Electrive). For more information on EU CO2 emission performance standards, see REGULATION (EU) 2019/631, particularly Article 4 and the annexes. The date a change would take effect is immaterial to the resolution of this question.

This question is the shorter-term companion of question #1620. The questions are substantively the same, save for the relevant time period. While they are companions, they are independent questions and the resolution of one will not necessarily impact the other.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

123

Forecast
Count

265

Crowd Brier Score

0.0082


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.013
2.
-0.013
3.
-0.013
4.
-0.012
5.
-0.012

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