Started May 15, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The Mack Institute asks:

Between 1 January 2021 and 31 December 2022, will the European Union delay and/or relax the implementation and/or enforcement of any of its CO2 emission performance standards for new passenger cars and/or new light commercial vehicles?

Due to impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, the auto industry in the EU is seeking relief from CO2 emission performance standards regulations (European Automobile Manufacturers AssociationEuropaElectrive). For more information on EU CO2 emission performance standards, see REGULATION (EU) 2019/631, particularly Article 4 and the annexes. The date a change would take effect is immaterial to the resolution of this question.

This question is the longer-term companion of question #1619. The questions are substantively the same, save for the relevant time period. While they are companions, they are independent questions and the resolution of one will not necessarily impact the other.

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Name Probability
Yes 3%

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