What will be the value of Total Assets of the Federal Reserve as of Wednesday 30 December 2020?

Started May 21, 2020 08:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 30, 2020 08:01AM UTC

In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Federal Reserve has begun unprecedented interventions in financial markets, including asset purchases (Seeking Alpha, Axios, Financial Times). The outcome will be determined using data provided by the Federal Reserve, with "Zoom" set to "1 y" (Federal Reserve). 

Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.


The question closed "Less than $8 trillion" with a closing date of 30 December 2020.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $8 trillion 100%
Between $8 trillion and $9 trillion, inclusive 0%
More than $9 trillion but less than $10 trillion 0%
Between $10 trillion and $11 trillion, inclusive 0%
More than $11 trillion 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 157
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 674
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.410013
2.
-0.367368
3.
-0.365089
4.
-0.35983
5.
-0.342086

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username