Foxes ask:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of India and the People's Republic of China before 1 December 2020?
Started
May 29, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 15, 2020 06:30PM UTC
Closed Jun 15, 2020 06:30PM UTC
Challenges
Tensions have flared along the disputed border between India and China, with violent clashes reported in early May (Hindustan Times, Time, Washington Post). A lethal confrontation is one that results in one fatality for the military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement of either side.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 15 June 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5.50% | |
| No | 94.50% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 155 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 268 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
