Started Jun 05, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Aug 29, 2020 06:59AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Before 29 August 2020, will the German Bundesbank be barred from participating in the European Central Bank's (ECB's) PSPP quantitative easing program?

In early May 2020, Germany's top court ruled that the Bundesbank must stop buying government bonds under the ECB's Public Sector Purchase Programme (PSPP) and gave the ECB three months to make changes, otherwise the bank would be barred from further participation (Economist, Reuters, German Federal Constitutional Court). A partial bar would count.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.



Name Probability
Yes 1%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In