Shack8888, cybermaster98, and Grant-Hummer ask:
What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 30 September 2020 relative to its closing value on 30 June 2020?
Started
Jul 01, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2020 07:01AM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2020 07:01AM UTC
The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg). The S&P 500 Index closed at 3,100.29 on 30 June 2020.
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The question closed "Up between 5.0% and 15.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 30 September 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Down more than 15.0% | 0% | |
| Down between 5.0% and 15.0%, inclusive | 0% | |
| Between down less than 5.0% and up less than 5.0% | 5% | |
| Up between 5.0% and 15.0%, inclusive | 95% | |
| Up more than 15.0% | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 280 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 229 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1549 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 637 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
