Question 47 of 118 in In the News 2020
Started Jul 01, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Sep 30, 2020 06:59AM UTC

Shack8888, cybermaster98, and Grant-Hummer ask:

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 30 September 2020 relative to its closing value on 30 June 2020?

The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg). The S&P 500 Index closed at 3,100.29 on 30 June 2020.

Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.



Name Probability
Down more than 15.0% 0%
Down between 5.0% and 15.0%, inclusive 6%
Between down less than 5.0% and up less than 5.0% 40%
Up between 5.0% and 15.0%, inclusive 52%
Up more than 15.0% 2%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In