Started Mar 22, 2016 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM UTC

&nbspThe Mack Institute asks

Will any other US state adopt California’s Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) Mandate before 1 January 2017?

This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.


California’s Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) mandate requires auto companies to produce a certain percentage of zero emission vehicles, such as those using hydrogen fuel cell cars and battery electric vehicles (Edmunds). The Clean Air Act permits other states to adopt California standards and nine other states plus the District of Columbia have already adopted California’s ZEV mandate (Center for Climate and Energy Solutions). Recommended Questions Will Tesla Motors deliver more than 80,000 BEVs to customers in calendar year 2016?

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 357
Average for questions older than 6 months: 254
Number of Forecasts 1015
Average for questions older than 6 months: 683
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.009
3.
-0.009
4.
-0.009
5.
-0.009

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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