Started Jul 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 03, 2020 08:01AM UTC

Before 3 November 2020, will federal legislation to provide at least $100 billion in direct financial assistance to state and/or local governments become law?

In March 2020, the CARES Act was passed to provide funding to corporations and small businesses via the Paycheck Protection Program and to private citizens in the form of stimulus payments, among other financial initiatives (Treasury.gov, National Conference of State Legislatures). As the COVID-19 crisis continues, state and local governments are under stress, and proposals have been made for federal assistance (Pew Charitable Trusts, The Hill).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

259

Forecast
Count

876

Crowd Brier Score

0.7605


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.978
2.
-0.954
3.
-0.935
4.
-0.93

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